Yes if NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, in its monthly ENSO update of November 12, 2026, issues an El Niño Advisory, meaning El Niño conditions are present. No if it issues only an El Niño Watch, keeps neutral conditions, or announces La Niña.

Vote history

67%yes
  • 2 yes
  • 1 no

3

voters

67%33%100%75%50%25%0%43210Oct 31Nov 1Nov 2
  • Yes (% of voters)
  • No (% of voters)
  • Votes so far (right axis)
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